‘Avengers: Infinity War’ Should Drop More Than 50% This Weekend — and That’s Great News

In its first week, “Avengers: Infinity War” grossed $338.4 million in North America.

By comparison, “Black Panther” was at $292 million after its first week; “The Avengers” in May 2012 reached $304 million adjusted.

Avengers: Age of Ultron” made $251 million adjusted.High-end grossing films (particularly sequels) tend to have steeper drops, so here’s a rundown of second-weekend precedents: “Avengers” fell 50 percent, “Ultron” 59 percent, “Black Panther” 45 percent.

The smaller drop for “Panther” suggested a long and strong run, and it remains in the top 10 nearly three months later.We predicted a first-week gross of about $340 million, close to the mark.

A 59 percent drop — $103 million, similar to “Ultron” — would bring it to $443 million Sunday night.

I’d predict a lower drop of about 55 percent, providing a $116 million three-day gross and $457 million through its second weekend.

“The Avengers” adjusted was $420 million in 10 days, “Ultron” $333 million, “Panther” $404 million.By comparison, it would fall well behind “Star Wars: The Force Awakens,

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