Pixar’s ‘Lightyear’ Is from Animation’s Most Lucrative Franchise, So Why the Lowball Projections?

Unlike the three other highly anticipated franchises to debut since May — “Doctor Strange” (Disney), “Top Gun: Maverick” (Paramount), and “Jurassic World: Dominion”(Universal) — Pixar’s “Lightyear” (Disney) will be the only one to open under 100 million.

Projections are around 75 million, which might be a generous assessment.Why the struggle for the fifth film in the “Toy Story” franchise, the most lucrative in animation? In adjusted grosses, they represent a domestic total of over 1.8 billion and the most recent in 2019 earned 441 million.

However, this is not “Toy Story 5”; it’s a Buzz Lightyear origin story, which reduces its initial potential.It also faces competition.

Toy Story 4” opened around the same date in 2018 to 121 million its first weekend, on the way to 441 million domestic.

It faced a weak field, including the second week of the flat “Men in Black: International” and a “Child’s Play” reboot.

This year, it faces “Jurassic World: Dominion

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