SAG Awards Film Predictions: How the Winners Could Shift the Oscar Race

It’s tradition to scrutinize the SAG Award winners as an Oscar-race bellwether — the acting branch dominates Academy voting — but this year the SAG nominations are out of sync.

Final SAG film voting closed March 31 for the ceremony’s one-hour TNT broadcast April 4, but the awards are pre-taped in actors’ homes April 1 with no theater, hosts, or red carpet.

Let the leaks begin!This time, three SAG Ensemble nominees did not make it to Best Picture contention: Spike Lee’s “Da 5 Bloods” and George C.

Wolfe’s “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (both from Netflix), and Amazon’s “One Night in Miami.” Oscar frontrunner, Chloé Zhao’s “Nomadland,” with its largely non-pro cast, did not land the usual SAG Ensemble nomination that often presages a Best Picture winner.

Like “The Shape of Water,” which won the Best Picture Oscar in 2018 without a SAG Ensemble nomination, “Nomadland” could become a statistical anomaly.

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